"All Models Are Wrong, but Some Are Useful"статья из журнала
Аннотация: Editorial| February 25, 2015 "All Models Are Wrong, but Some Are Useful" Edward H. Field Edward H. Field U.S. Geological Survey, Denver Federal Center, P.O. Box 25046, MS 966, Denver, Colorado 80225‐0046 U.S.A.field@usgs.gov Search for other works by this author on: GSW Google Scholar Seismological Research Letters (2015) 86 (2A): 291–293. https://doi.org/10.1785/02201401213 Article history first online: 14 Jul 2017 Cite View This Citation Add to Citation Manager Share Icon Share Facebook Twitter LinkedIn MailTo Tools Icon Tools Get Permissions Search Site Citation Edward H. Field; "All Models Are Wrong, but Some Are Useful". Seismological Research Letters 2015;; 86 (2A): 291–293. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/02201401213 Download citation file: Ris (Zotero) Refmanager EasyBib Bookends Mendeley Papers EndNote RefWorks BibTex toolbar search Search Dropdown Menu toolbar search search input Search input auto suggest filter your search All ContentBy SocietySeismological Research Letters Search Advanced Search I have found myself repeating this famous Box (1980) quote a lot lately, so much so that one colleague said he was going to keep a tally (perhaps implying that it is getting annoying). Maybe explaining the three main reasons here will help shut me up. Building a new model, especially one used for policy purposes, takes considerable time, effort, and resources. In justifying such expenditures, one inevitably spends a lot of time denigrating previous models. For example, in pitching the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) (http://www.WGCEP.org/UCERF3), criticisms of the previous model included fault‐segmentation assumptions and... You do not have access to this content, please speak to your institutional administrator if you feel you should have access.
Год издания: 2015
Авторы: E. H. Field
Издательство: Seismological Society of America
Источник: Seismological Research Letters
Ключевые слова: Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping, earthquake and tectonic studies, Seismology and Earthquake Studies
Открытый доступ: closed
Том: 86
Выпуск: 2A
Страницы: 291–293