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Opportunities forEarth Observation toInform RiskManagement for OceanTipping Points Wood Richard A.Baker Jonathan A.Beaugrand Grégory2024 год

Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points
статья из журнала

Дополнительные ссылки: eLibrary
База данных: Каталог библиотеки СФУ
Библиографическое описание: Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points : научное издание / Richard A. Wood [et al.]. - Текст : непосредственный // Surveys in Geophysics. - 2024. - № . - ISSN 0169-3298. - ISSN 1573-0956, DOI 10.1007/s10712-024-09859-3.
Аннотация: <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>As climate change continues, the likelihood of passing critical thresholds or tipping points increases. Hence, there is a need to advance the science for detecting such thresholds. In this paper, we assess the needs and opportunities for Earth Observation (EO, here understood to refer to satellite observations) to inform society in responding to the risks associated with ten potential large-scale ocean tipping elements: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; Atlantic Subpolar Gyre; Beaufort Gyre; Arctic halocline; Kuroshio Large Meander; deoxygenation; phytoplankton; zooplankton; higher level ecosystems (including fisheries); and marine biodiversity. We review current scientific understanding and identify specific EO and related modelling needs for each of these tipping elements. We draw out some generic points that apply across several of the elements. These common points include the importance of maintaining long-term, consistent time series; the need to combine EO data consistently with in situ data types (including subsurface), for example through data assimilation; and the need to reduce or work with current mismatches in resolution (in both directions) between climate models and EO datasets. Our analysis shows that developing EO, modelling and prediction systems together, with understanding of the strengths and limitations of each, provides many promising paths towards monitoring and early warning systems for tipping, and towards the development of the next generation of climate models.</jats:p>
Год издания: 2024
Авторы: Wood Richard A., Baker Jonathan A., Beaugrand Grégory, Boutin Jacqueline, Conversi Alessandra, Donner Reik V., Frenger Ivy, Goberville Eric, Hayashida Hakase, Koeve Wolfgang, Kvale Karin, Landolfi Angela, Maslowski Wieslaw, Oschlies Andreas, Romanou Anastasia, Somes Christopher J., Stocker Thomas F., Swingedouw Didier
Издательство: Springer Science+Business Media B.V., Formerly Kluwer Academic Publishers B.V.
Источник: Surveys in Geophysics
Количество экземпляров:
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