Autoregression, First Order Phase Transition, and Stochastic Resonance: A Comparison of Three Models for Forest Insect Outbreaks : научное издание

Soukhovolsky Vladislav; Kovalev Anton; Ivanova Yulia; Tarasova Olga

Дополнительные ссылки: eLibrary

База данных: Каталог библиотеки СФУ

Библиографическое описание: Autoregression, First Order Phase Transition, and Stochastic Resonance: A Comparison of Three Models for Forest Insect Outbreaks : научное издание / V. V. Soukhovolsky [et al.]. - Текст : непосредственный // Mathematics. - 2023. - Т. 11, № 19. - P. 4212. - ISSN 2227-7390, DOI 10.3390/math11194212.

Аннотация: Three models of abundance dynamics for forest insects that depict the development of outbreak populations were analyzed. We studied populations of the Siberian silkmoth Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv. in Siberia and the Far East of Russia, as well as a population of the pine looper Bupalus piniarius L. in Thuringia, Germany. The first model (autoregression) characterizes the mechanism where current population density is dependent on population densities in previous k years. The second model considers an outbreak as analogous to a first-order phase transition in physical systems and characterizes the outbreak as a transition through a potential barrier from a low-density state to a high-density state. The third model treats an outbreak as an effect of stochastic resonance influenced by a cyclical factor such as solar activity and the “noise” of weather parameters. The discussion focuses on the prediction effectiveness of abundance dynamics and outbreak development for each model.

Год издания: 2023

Авторы: Soukhovolsky Vladislav , Kovalev Anton , Ivanova Yulia , Tarasova Olga

Издательство: MDPI, Basel

Источник: Mathematics

Выпуск: Т. 11, № 19

Номера страниц: 4212

Держатель оригинала документа: Department of Ecology and Nature Management, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia, Institute of Biophysics SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia, Krasnoyarsk Scientific Center SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia, V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk 660036, Russia

Количество экземпляров:

Твёрдая копия издания отсутствует в фонде библиотеки

Показать дополнительные сведения

Development of Outbreaks of Forest Insects on Different Spatial Scales : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky V.G. и др.
2023 год

Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky Vladislav и др.
2023 год

Estimates of Carbon Flows in Forest Stands during a Forest Insect Outbreaks : научное издание

Soukhovolsky V.G. и др.
2024 год

Carbon Dioxide Emissions into the Atmosphere During an Outbreak of Forest Phyllophagous Insects and… : научное издание

Sukhovolskii V. G. и др.
2025 год

Is It Possible to Predict a Forest Insect Outbreak? Backtesting Using Remote Sensing Data : статья из журнала

Kovalev Anton и др.
2024 год

Forest Insect Population Dynamics, Outbreaks and Global Warming Effects : монография

Isaev A.S. и др.
2017 год

A model of forest insect outbreak as a second order phase transition : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky V.G. и др.
2005 год

A population and energy model of a forest insect outbreak : научное издание

Iskhakov T.R. и др.
2007 год

Regulatory Processes in Populations of Forest Insects (A Case Study of Insect Species Damaging the… : научное издание

Soukhovolsky Vladislav и др.
2022 год

An Autoregulatory Model of Forest Insect Population Dynamics and Forest Stand Damage Dynamics in… : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky Vladislav и др.
2024 год

Insect Mortality Caused by Baculovirus: A Model of Second-Order Phase Transitions : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky V.G. и др.
2023 год

Modelling the Effect of Viruses on Insect Survival: Using a Second-Order Phase Transition Model to… : научное издание

Soukhovolsky Vladislav и др.
2025 год

Are Data on Predators Necessary When Modeling Prey Population Dynamics? : статья из журнала

Soukhovolsky V.G. и др.
2023 год

Моделирование критических явлений в популяциях лесных насекомых : научное издание

Суховольский В.Г. и др.
2020 год

Assemblages of Trichoptera larvae on water moss in the middle reaches of the Yenisei River (Siberia… : научное издание

KONOVALOVA DARIA A. и др.
2023 год

ПОПУЛЯЦИОННАЯ ДИНАМИКА ОНКОЗАБОЛЕВАНИЙ: МОДЕЛЬ ФАЗОВОГО ПЕРЕХОДА ВТОРОГО PОДА : статья из журнала

Суховольский В.Г. и др.
2015 год

Библиотечно-издательский комплекс СФУ

Autoregression, First Order Phase Transition, and Stochastic Resonance: A Comparison of Three Models for Forest Insect Outbreaks : научное издание
статья из журнала

Похожие публикации