Библиографическое описание:Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent : научное издание / T. Roslin [et al.]. - Текст : непосредственный // Nature Climate Change. - 2021. - № . - ISSN 1758-678X. - ISSN 1758-6798, DOI 10.1038/s41558-020-00967-7.
Аннотация:Ongoing climate change can shift organism phenology in ways that vary depending on species, habitats and climate factors studied. To probe for large-scale patterns in associated phenological change, we use 70,709 observations from six decades of systematic monitoring across the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Among 110 phenological events related to plants, birds, insects, amphibians and fungi, we find a mosaic of change, defying simple predictions of earlier springs, later autumns and stronger changes at higher latitudes and elevations. Site mean temperature emerged as a strong predictor of local phenology, but the magnitude and direction of change varied with trophic level and the relative timing of an event. Beyond temperature-associated variation, we uncover high variation among both sites and years, with some sites being characterized by disproportionately long seasons and others by short ones. Our findings emphasize concerns regarding ecosystem integrity and highlight the difficulty of predicting climate change outcomes.
Держатель оригинала документа:3237 Biology-Psychology Building,University of Maryland, A. N. Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution, Altai State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Altai State University, Astrakhan Biosphere Reserve, Baikalsky State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Black Sea Biosphere Reserve, Bryansk Forest Nature Reserve, Carpathian Biosphere Reserve, Carpathian National Nature Park, Caucasian State Biosphere Reserve of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Central Forest State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics,Department of Biology,Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Chatkalski National Park, Crimea Nature Reserve, Darwin Nature Biosphere Reserve, Department of Computer Science,Aalto University, Department of Ecology,Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, EarthCape OY, FGBU GPZ Kologrivskij les im. M.G. Sinicina, FGBU National Park Kenozersky, FGBU National Park Shushenskiy Bor, FGBU State Nature Reserve Kuznetsk Alatau, Forest Research Institute Karelian Research Centre,Russian Academy of Sciences, FSBI Prioksko-Terrasniy State Reserve, FSBI United Administration of the Kedrovaya Pad’ State Biosphere Nature Reserve and Leopard’s Land National Park, FSBI United Administration of the Lazovsky State Reserve and National Park Zov Tigra, FSBI United Administration of the Mordovia State Nature Reserve and National Park Smolny,Republic of Mordovia, FSBI Zeya State Nature Reserve, FSE Zapovednoe Podlemorye, Information-Analytical Centre for Protected Areas, Institute for Ecology and Geography,Siberian Federal University, Institute for Evolutionary Ecology NAS Ukraine, Institute of Botany,Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Institute of General and Experimental Biology,Siberian Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Geography,Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Mathematical Problems of Biology RAS—the Branch of the Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics,Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Physicochemical and Biological Problems in Soil Sciences,Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology,Ural Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Systematics and Ecology of Animals,Siberian Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences, Kabardino-Balkarski Nature Reserve, Kaniv Nature Reserve, Kerzhenskiy State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Koltzov Institute of Developmental Biology,Russian Academy of Sciences, Komarov Botanical Institute,Russian Academy of Sciences, Komsomolskiy Department,FGBU Zapovednoye Priamurye, Kondinskie Lakes National Park named after L. F. Stashkevich, Kostomuksha Nature Reserve, Krasnoyarsk State Medical University named after Prof. V.F.Voino-Yasenetsky, Krasnoyarsk State Pedagogical University named after V.P. Astafyev, Kronotsky Federal Nature Biosphere Reserve, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Mari Chodra National Park, Mordovia State Nature Reserve, National Nature Park Vyzhnytskiy, National Park Bashkirija, National Park Khvalynsky, National Park Meshchera, National Park Orlovskoe Polesie, National Park Synevyr, National Park Ugra, Nizhne-Svirsky State Nature Reserve, Ogarev Mordovia State University, Pasvik State Nature Reserve, Pechoro-Ilych State Nature Reserve, Pinezhsky State Nature Reserve, Polistovsky State Nature Reserve, Pryazovskyi National Nature Park, Research Unit of Biodiversity (UMIB,UO-CSIC-PA),Oviedo University, Reserves of Taimyr, Saint-Petersburg State Forest Technical University, Sary-Chelek State Nature Reserve, Sikhote-Alin State Nature Biosphere Reserve named after K. G. Abramov, Smolenskoe Poozerje National Park, South Urals Federal Research Center of Mineralogy and Geoecology,Ilmeny State Reserve,Ural Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences, South-Ural Federal University, State Environmental Institution National Park Braslav lakes, State Nature Reserve Bolshaya Kokshaga, State Nature Reserve Kivach, State Nature Reserve Kurilsky, State Nature Reserve Malaya Sosva, State Nature Reserve Nurgush, State Nature Reserve Olekminsky, State Nature Reserve Prisursky, State Nature Reserve Privolzhskaya Lesostep, State Nature Reserve Stolby, State Nature Reserve Tungusskiy, State Nature Reserve Vishersky, State Research Center Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, Surhanskiy State Nature Reserve, The Central Chernozem State Biosphere Nature Reserve named after Professor V.V. Alyokhin, Tigirek State Nature Reserve, Tyumen State University, University of Helsinki, Ural State Pedagogical University, Visimsky Nature Biosphere Reserve, Vodlozersky National Park,Karelia, Volzhsko-Kamsky National Nature Biosphere Rezerve, Voronezhsky Nature Biosphere Reserve, Zapovednoe Pribajkalje (Bajkalo-Lensky State Nature Reserve,Pribajkalsky National Park), Zhiguli Nature Reserve
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