Parametrization of bass diffusion model on COVID-19 first wave data : доклад, тезисы доклада

Škraba A.A.; Vavtar B.B.; Stanovov V.V.; Semenkin E.E.; Stojanović R.R.

Дополнительные ссылки: eLibrary · Источник статьи

База данных: Каталог библиотеки СФУ

Библиографическое описание: Parametrization of bass diffusion model on COVID-19 first wave data : доклад, тезисы доклада / A. A. Škraba [et al.]. - [S. l. : s. n.], 2021. - Текст : непосредственный // IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering / Krasnoyarsk Science and Technology City Hall. ; III International Conference on Advanced Technologies in Aerospace, Mechanical and Automation Engineering - MIST: Aerospace-III-2020; 9-th International Workshop on Mathematical Models and their Applications (IWMMA-2020) (2020 ; 20.11 - 21.11 ; Krasnoyarsk). - Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation : IOP Publishing Ltd, 2021. - 1047. - P. 12084. - DOI 10.1088/1757-899X/1047/1/012084.

Аннотация: The paper addresses the development of the system for the parameterization of the Bass Diffusion Model on Covid-19 Data. Continuous model developed by the principle of system dynamics is presented. The parameters of the model are tuned to fit the data with genetic algorithm in Powersim simulation tool. The validation is performed by standard simulation validation techniques. The input data used in the experiments were gathered by publically available databases. In particular, the data collected in Austria, France, Italy, South Korea, Slovenia and Swiss were considered in this study. The results have shown that the simple model with is capable of predicting the growth with S-shaped curve with high accuracy.

Год издания: 2021

Авторы: Škraba A.A. , Vavtar B.B. , Stanovov V.V. , Semenkin E.E. , Stojanović R.R.

Издательство: IOP Publishing Ltd, Krasnoyarsk, Russian Federation

Источник: IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering

Выпуск: 1047

Мероприятие: III International Conference on Advanced Technologies in Aerospace, Mechanical and Automation Engineering - MIST: Aerospace-III-2020; 9-th International Workshop on Mathematical Models and their Applications (IWMMA-2020) (Krasnoyarsk, 2020 ; 20.11 - 21.11)

Номера страниц: 12084

Держатель оригинала документа: Reshetnev Siberian State University of Science and Technology, University of Maribor, University of Montenegro

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