Can the Term Spread Predict Output Growth and Recessions? A Survey of the Literature
Work
Year: 2009
Type: article
Abstract: This article surveys recent research on the usefulness of the term spread (i.e., the difference between the yields on long-term and short-term Treasury securities) for predicting changes in economic a... more
Source: Review
Authors David C. Wheelock, Mark E. Wohar
Institution Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Cites: 77
Cited by: 223
Related to: 10
FWCI: 14.56
Citation percentile (by year/subfield): 99.99
Domain: Social Sciences
Sustainable Development Goal Decent work and economic growth
Open Access status: green